Latest News at ElliottWaveTrader

Below is a sampling of articles by our analysts at ElliottWaveTrader. More than a dozen articles and several hundred shorter posts by our analysts are produced daily for members across all our services at EWT.

In Case You Missed It ... Week Ending Friday Sep 18th, 2026

Despite the onslaught of retail news the week, SPX closed flat. This is an important lesson: catalysts/events can serve as a trigger for moving markets, but ultimately human sentiment controls the direction of the markets, and Elliott Wave Principle requires no trigger. Sentiment among the retail/small fund investor class has been divided for more than a year, and the result is choppy, whipsaw markets.
by Lou Alfieri - 16 hours ago

Don’t Bank On It: A Specialty-Finance Lender

With this article, we continue our new series, “Don’t Bank On It,” focusing on the existential issues found on one specific bank’s balance sheet. We also challenge readers to figure out which bank we are covering in each article. Our next highlighted bank is a publicly listed US bank with roughly $7B in assets. Unlike a traditional community bank, its balance sheet is heavily dominated by specialty and commercial finance.
by Avi Gilburt - 3 days ago

United’s CEO Thinks in Probabilities — You Should Too

Whether Kirby will succeed, price will tell. The primary path for UAL tracks higher over the next several months.
by Levi - 4 days ago

How Artificial Intelligence (AI) Is Affecting Gold

If you clicked on this article based upon only the title, then it is clear you have bought the current narrative that AI is affecting everything in the market. But, I am sorry to inform you that this is not how markets work.
by Avi Gilburt - 4 days ago

DXYZ: Anthropic on the Cover — Treasuries in the Book

DXYZ now trades below what the fund says its holdings are worth, the first sustained discount in its history. Price has been building a structure off the July low.
by Levi - 5 days ago

Ford (F): A Trading Sardine, Not An Eating Sardine

The levels are what we watch. The setup marks where the bearish read holds and where it stops being worth holding, which is a question that can be answered. The next headline is not.
by Levi - 6 days ago

In Case You Missed It ... Week Ending Friday Sep 11, 2026

SPX dropped approximately 62 points this week. This shortened week consisted of four days where SPX had an opening gap and then traded flat for the entire day. Intraday traders did not have an easy time of it on the equity indexes this week.
by Lou Alfieri - 1 week ago

A Great Example Of What Can Happen When Time & Price Come Together Using Fibonacci Ratios

Yesterday (Sep 10) we had a test of key support in SPX in the 7565-7578 area. At the same time we had a timing histogram that suggested a possible low with the cycles coming in Sep 10-11.
by Carolyn Boroden - 1 week ago

SPCX: Two Targets Hit — Not Via Valuation

Elliott Wave aims to measure the crowd, and the crowd is pricing SPCX.
by Levi - 1 week ago

In Case You Missed It ... Week Ending Friday Sep 4th, 2026

In his latest column sharing some of the week's posts he thinks you shouldn’t miss, EWT analyst Lou Alfieri summarizes the week in the markets and highlights the team's analysis in the SPX, ES and NDX, as well as its sector work.
by Lou Alfieri - 2 weeks ago

Micron: Sales Multiple Says Stop — Cash Flow Says Go

Micron has put investors in an uncomfortable position. The stock is trading near the richest price-to-sales ratio in its public history, and the forward cash flow estimates make it look inexpensive at the same time. Both statements are supported by the data. Neither one cancels the other.
by Levi - 2 weeks ago

Don’t Bank On It: A Troubled Community Bank in New Jersey

With this article, we continue our new series, “Don’t Bank On It,” which we intend to write for the foreseeable future. Those of you who have been following our public banking articles know that we have been highlighting the major existential issues currently sitting on many bank balance sheets. In this series, we focus on the existential issues found on one specific bank’s balance sheet. We also challenge readers to figure out which bank we are covering in each article. Our next highlighted bank is a publicly listed US community bank with roughly $3B in assets. It operates mainly in New Jersey and looks like a traditional conservative local bank.
by Avi Gilburt - 2 weeks ago

The Level Was There Before The Policy — 10 Year Yields (TNX)

The 4.75% level on the 10-year TNX chart had been identified as standout resistance for several weeks now — it’s been on my chart this entire time. Not since last Wednesday. Not after the CNBC piece. Weeks. It’s been tested three times, and it has held three times — and the third of those attempts happened to land in the middle of the largest verbal intervention in the long end we’ve seen in this cycle.
by Levi - 3 weeks ago

NVDA: Who Stops the Music?

The earnings are real, no fundamental catalyst is sitting there waiting, and there remains a case for buying dips selectively in the strongest names. But should this current structure continue to play out as illustrated, then price should correct into the fall of this year.
by Levi - 3 weeks ago

In Case You Missed It ... Week Ending Friday August 21, 2026

In his latest column sharing some of the week's posts he thinks you shouldn’t miss, EWT analyst Lou Alfieri summarizes the week in the markets and highlights Avi's SPX, GDX and USO analysis, along with a range of analysis by Jason Appel in his Beginners Circle Webinar (available to all EWT members) and in his EW Counts Webinars and posts throughout the week in Avi & Mike's Market Alerts service.
by Lou Alfieri - 4 weeks ago

Yes, Fibonacci Works in BTC Futures!

I can't tell you that I predicted the type of rally we got off this area, but the support held beautifully and with this really we cleared quite a bit of overhead resistance within the last few trading days.
by Carolyn Boroden - 4 weeks ago

LyondellBasell (LYB): The Value Trap Is Becoming a Setup

Some stocks seem priced cheap because the market has overreacted to the downside. Others are cheap because the business is not earning enough to justify a higher price. Telling those two situations apart is most of the work, and for a long period of time LYB sat squarely in the second group.
by Levi - 4 weeks ago

Demand Was Never IREN’s Problem — Delivery Is

IREN has the contracts signed. It has the funding in place. What it does not have is unlimited time — and the chart is where that clock gets read.
by Levi - 1 month ago

Hecla’s Best Quarter Met Cooling Sentiment

The balance sheet did not cause this pullback in price and it will not end it. This was sentiment in silver.
by Levi - 1 month ago

SPCX + TSLA: Same Building — Separate Invoices

On August 6, Tesla and SpaceX confirmed the Terafab site for the largest fab ever attempted. They are building it together in Grimes County, under one roof. But they are not paying for it the same way, and that difference is the only thing that matters to either chart. SpaceX pays in stock the market values at a premium. Tesla pays in cash from a quarter that produced a 1.4% operating margin and negative free cash flow. Same building. Separate invoices.
by Levi - 1 month ago

Don’t Bank on It: Nothing Is Good In California

With this report, we continue the “Don’t Bank On It” format: a concentrated review of the existential risks sitting on one bank’s balance sheet. We also challenge readers to figure out which bank we are covering in each article. Our fourth highlighted bank is a publicly listed US bank with more than $30B in assets. Its branch network, deposit franchise, and a substantial portion of its real-estate lending are focused on California.
by Avi Gilburt - 1 month ago

In Case You Missed It: Week Ending Friday Aug 7, 2026

In his latest column sharing some of the week's posts he thinks you shouldn’t miss, EWT analyst Lou Alfieri summarizes the week in the markets and highlights several of Avi's as well as Levi's SPX posts, MikeG's RTY chart, Avi's Pre-Weekend Metals Update, and MarkZ's Bi-weekly Sector Review (done in a video format this week).
by Lou Alfieri - 1 month ago

Metals: Pre-Weekend Update

With the continued strength in the metals complex, it has to make us strongly consider that the bottom is already in place. So, let's discuss it.
by Avi Gilburt - 1 month ago

12 Metals & Mining Wave Setups Reach Resistance Today

Twelve of our recent Wave Setups in MMA hit their next resistance levels today triggering updates!
by Zac Mannes - 1 month ago

In Case You Missed It: Week Ending Friday, July 31st, 2026

Lou summarizes the week in the markets and highlights individual analysis in the room by Avi (SPX counts), MarkZ (biweekly sector report), Carolyn (market video), and Mike Golembesky (risk management).
by Lou Alfieri - 1 month ago

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