Recent Articles by Avi Gilburt

Possible 5-up In Futures

I wanted to write this update early, since it is my outline for how I am looking for a potential break out sooner rather than later.

by Avi Gilburt - 1 day ago

[c] Wave Not Dead Yet

If we are indeed going to still see a [c] wave down towards the 3600 SPX region, then we will need to complete 5-waves down towards 3800-20 as wave 1 of [c].

by Avi Gilburt - 2 weeks ago

Wave 3 Delayed - Market Analysis for Jan 27th, 2021

While the market had a set up to break out overnight and finally confirm a wave 3 in the S&P 500, it has clearly invalidated its immediate break-out set up.

by Avi Gilburt - 4 weeks ago

Is That It?

In order for me to more confidently view us as having begun wave [3] to 4600 on the S&P 500 (SPX), I still need a clearer 5-wave structure off yesterday’s low.

by Avi Gilburt - 1 month ago

When the ES/SPX failed to follow through in a larger wave [2] potential set up today, it brings me back to an old saying about the market: When the market does not follow through on a set-up, it is often telling you something quite clear.

by Avi Gilburt - 2 months ago

Key Pullback In Metals

The question is if we have truly bottomed or if we have lower levels yet to be seen before this 4th wave finally completes?

by Avi Gilburt - 2 months ago

A Bit More Clarity

It only took a day for the market to provide us with a lot more clarity than we had yesterday.

by Avi Gilburt - 2 months ago

Pullbacks Are Still Quite Within Reason – But Know Where Melt-up Takes Hold

I want to try to summarize my larger degree thoughts into this update, which I reviewed in my live video this morning, so everyone can be clear of my perspective at this time.

by Avi Gilburt - 3 months ago

The Meaning Of Five Waves

As long as we hold 3497SPX, then the market has potential to extend within this 5th wave of wave [1].

by Avi Gilburt - 3 months ago

Is The Market Lulling You To Sleep?

As long as the market remains below immediate resistance, I want you to stay on high alert, because the next break down below yesterday’s low opens a trap door for market price.

by Avi Gilburt - 3 months ago

The Reports Of My Death Have Been Greatly Exaggerated

Despite the Emini S&P 500 (ES) slightly breaking below the .382 retracement support last night, the market has come back roaring today to complete 5-waves up off the low structure last week.

by Avi Gilburt - 4 months ago

Not Making It Easy

As long as the market now remains below 3330 on the Emini S&P 500 (ES), then I still expect another decline to complete this [c] wave, as shown on my 5-minute ES chart.

by Avi Gilburt - 5 months ago

Lessons I Learned In My Career

When I was young and first starting out in trading, if the market would come to a point at which I thought it would turn, I was often quite impulsive and impetuous, so I would aggressively short at that point. And, since I was following analysis being provided by others, I would often find myself in the hole with those short trades, as the analysis I was following often turned out to be wrong (there are a lot of bad analysts out there). It took me a while until I learned that most of the analysis I would follow only had a bearish bias, which is why I lost a significant portion of my trading account.

by Avi Gilburt - 5 months ago

Time To Assess Where We Are In 2020 And What Is Yet To Come For 2021

As we came into 2020, my primary expectation was for the stock market to top out, and provide us with a c-wave decline towards the 2200SPX region. And, when the market exceeded my upside target in the 3000/3100 region, it certainly made me question that potential. If you were following my analysis closely, you would know that week after week during the first 2 months of 2020, I was highlighting the extreme divergence we were seeing between the SPX relative to the IWM and the EEM. And, when the SPX exceeded the 3200SPX region, I even outlined what it would take for me to abandon the bearish expectation being driven by the EEM and IWM charts.

by Avi Gilburt - 6 months ago

Hitting Targets – And, Then Some

While it has certainly not been an easy ride, we have just arrived at the 3340 target on the S&P 500 (SPX) we have had for the blue wave 3 for weeks now.

by Avi Gilburt - 6 months ago

Silver Is A Game Changer

Now that silver has broken out, it is rather clear to me that we are in the midst of a 3rd wave.

by Avi Gilburt - 7 months ago

Quick Silver Update - Market Analysis for Jul 20th, 2020

Should silver continue higher, it likely will spike up and my next IDEAL target is the 22.16 region for the standard Fibonacci Pinball structure.

by Avi Gilburt - 7 months ago

I May Be A Stubborn SOB

I know everyone is expecting downside in the market because we have gone much further to the upside than anyone expected -- well, other than us (smile).

by Avi Gilburt - 7 months ago

Is Everyone Enjoying Their Jello?

At the end of the day, my larger degree expectations still remain in place, and that is we will likely see much lower levels in the coming weeks.

by Avi Gilburt - 8 months ago

Correction Flood Gates Opened Today

Having recently struck within pennies of the ideal target I outlined over the last few weeks in the 3234 SPX region, the market today confirmed our expectations for a larger degree pullback to take shape.

by Avi Gilburt - 8 months ago

Almost At The Target

If you have been following closely, I have wanted to see the market rally to the 3020-3080SPX region to complete wave [3] in blue on my charts. And, we have struck the bottom of that target today.

by Avi Gilburt - 9 months ago

Bears Have A Set-Up

The bears have a set-up to break down below today’s low and follow through below 2870ES (2880SPX) support to open the door to the 2700-2750SPX region for the [c] wave of wave [4].

by Avi Gilburt - 9 months ago

Putting The Market Into Context

When you consider that the last 30% of the rally has the most risk, and that even if the market does complete all 5 waves up into the 3200-3300 SPX region it will still pull back below 2900 in wave ii later this year, you have to really consider whether you, as an investor, wants to take that additional risk.

by Avi Gilburt - 9 months ago

Market Testing Both Sides

Over the last week, the market did a wonderful job in taking us up to the 2890 region target on the S&P 500, and testing the bears. And, as we have been highlighting, that would be a good place to de-risk a bit, after we caught the bottom in the SPX back in March.

by Avi Gilburt - 10 months ago

Lesson In Corrective Structures

With the market following through to the downside as we generally expected in this set up, we are approaching an important cross roads which will determine if we have a lower low yet to be seen, which is our primary count, or if the bottom has already been struck.

by Avi Gilburt - 10 months ago

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