Upper Support Being Tested
With today’s pullback, we are now testing the upper support to the market in the 3219-3232SPX region. That really is the ideal target for a wave 4 pullback if we are following the diagonal structure in the SPX.
Very simply, should this support hold, then we are likely looking for a wave 5 of [5] pointing us up towards the 3320-3340SPX region. IF we break this support, then we have the more important 3185-3200SPX support below that.
Most importantly, and as I have been reiterating, the market must break below the 3185SPX support with an impulsive 5-wave structure for us to consider the top has been struck in the green [b] wave, and that a [c] wave down towards the 2900SPX region has begun. But, I simply cannot say that we have a clean structure that is pointing to that outcome at this time.
So, for now, 3219SPX is upper support, with 3185SPX below that. As long as support continues to hold, I am still looking to test the all-time highs again in the blue count to complete wave [5] of [i] off the March lows. Below support, and we can move back into the green count.