Relatively Full Now - Market Analysis for May 8th, 2025


As I said just an hour or so ago, we now have a relatively full pattern to the upside, along with some nice negative divergence on the 60-minute MACD.  Moreover, the daily MACD is now hitting the bottom of its resistance box.  Can the market still continue to extend?  Sure.   But, recognize that risk is now rising for a potential reversal when the count is sound and full.  

What we are now seeking is a break-down now below yesterday's low to signal that a top is likely in place. So, below yesterday’s low and we are likely in the expected pullback, and we will then need to assess the nature of the pullback to determine which counts to apply.

I will not repeat the differences again between the counts we are tracking, as I have outlined this ad nauseum.  I will keep this update short and simple.

60minSPX
60minSPX
SPX-Daily
SPX-Daily
Avi Gilburt is founder of ElliottWaveTrader.net.


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