About Cryptocurrency Trading

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The Cryptocurrency Trading premium service in our EWT Trading Room provides analysis and trade alerts on cryptocurrencies, hosted by Ryan Wilday, focusing on both Big Cap coins and Tokens/post-ICOs. Big Caps are the top 15 coins in terms of market cap, including Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ethereum Classic, Ripple, and Litecoin. Tokens are a name for small coins or coins built on the network of another larger cap coin. Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) are coins that are released to fund projects and we will trade them after they are listed on exchanges. Tokens and ICOs are more speculative and it is the service participant's responsibility to decide exposure to each portfolio. See important notice about Risk Considerations.

About Ryan Wilday

Ryan Wilday

Ryan has over 17 years experience trading equities, futures and options. He was introduced to cryptocurrency in 2013 by a programmer friend and began mining and trading shortly thereafter. Though he read Prechter's Elliott Wave Principle in the early 2000's, he didn't make practical use of the theory until joining EWT in 2015. Today he melds his deep knowledge of the cryptocurrency market with Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci Pinball.

Key Intro Articles

Thoughts on Using the Service Thu Oct 5th 2017

I wanted to put this together for new folks coming on. We haven't had too many come on since the trial but we are holding steady over 200 people. So, I want to have this to point to. So here goes: Know The Asset Class.

Trading Elliott Basics with Cryptos Wed Oct 11th 2017

This post is not for the veterans here. That is unless you never created a trading plan. If you haven't start. But, I got a PM today that was clear the person didn't have a handle on trading the wave counts. So, want to give some quick basics.

Getting Your Feet Wet in Cryptos Mon Dec 18th 2017

Reposting this article Avi and Ryan wrote a while back on Seeking Alpha so we get it archived in our Crypto education section.

Additional Articles

Housekeeping Mon Feb 18th 2019

Given the uprising against how hard my charts are to see during the webinars, I'm going to try moving the Friday webinar to Saturday mornings so I can setup a small screen.

Twists and Turns Fri Feb 15th 2019

I have had a TON of folks on the board and elsewhere suggesting that BTC is in for a long base pattern. Honestly, just as folks prodded me to turn bullish in November with clear bearish price action, I get skeptical when I hear the same thing from too many.

PSA- For Situational Awareness Sun Jan 27th 2019

Just some reminder as I get some questions that hint that I can communicate better: 1) Given the levels we reached in the bear market, I have opened up more alt counts in our two large cap coins, as my previous count in Ethereum was made highly improbable.

Blockchain Stock List Sat Jan 12th 2019

Hey all- Here's the Blockchain Stocklist I have so far. When I have a chance I'm going to research holdings of the ETFs, weeding out 'low plays', let me know if suggestions.

Announcement Wed Jan 9th 2019

Service Change: After discussion, Crypto Service is now going to cover Blockchain stocks on the US exchanges and TSX, provided I can get data. Note it will take some time before I get these charts down. I do not follow them currently.

Swing Lesson Reinforcement Tue Jan 8th 2019

While we are slow, I want to reinforce the swing lessons gave on the special swing trade webinar. I care less personally whether we are in a B wave top or a (1)-(2). To manage this I am positioned lightly. High B waves are not a bearish phenomenon.

Skew Charts Wed Jan 2nd 2019

All- I'm going through the skew chart, and honestly, there is no real reason to update this, but I'm going to keep working on it. Use the last one under the CryptoLT tag and I'll keep working on this as we're slow.

Skew charts Thu Dec 27th 2018

Note since the holidays are almost over, I'll start to trickle back into the long term skew charts with the ASSUMPTION that the bottom is in.

Micro to Long Term Thu Dec 27th 2018

FYI on process- At this point, I'm not linking my micro counts with my longer term counts. Because there is so much corrective nature in this bottom until the next degree, I'm watching for: 1) does support here hold 2) How do extend in the next rally.

Art and Science Mon Dec 24th 2018

When I was studying typography in design school, I learned 'grid system'. This has been a hall mark of modern graphic design. I was an industrial designer, but type was a required part of the curriculum.

Reminder: Discussion on Shorting and Hedging in Crypto Mon Dec 17th 2018

Saturday December, 22nd 8:30 PST. Code will be dropped in the room. And, will be recorded.  I'll limit it at 2HR just to cover the topic. This does not mean it will go this long. 

New Feature. Sat Dec 8th 2018

I found the triangle function in Motive. yeeeeah!. When I think there is a decent setup I'm going to place the triangle. on the chart. If I use a box it is just support for my count before I count it invalided.

Using EW Thu Nov 29th 2018

So, this post is not to pick on anyone, but I just got a long PM about how EW is not useful. To be honest, this is difficult for me to hear as EW put me in short since June consistently. And, I was very short at the November 13 breakdown.

Small Cap Skew Draft 2 Mon Nov 26th 2018

I made some progress but there was too much action to finish. I'm getting there. Take a look. Some of you have found errors or 'strangities' faster than I, particularly on your favorites. So, eyes are good.

Backing off stops Mon Nov 26th 2018

I'm backing off Stops on the swing trades. I don't see the point in thrashing signals if we break down. I'll reinstate. Later. This is still accumulation zone IMO. This may prove a mistake, which is why in my own trading I'm hedging short.

Swing Trade Stop move Mon Nov 26th 2018

Moving all the stops on the swing trades to the lows to see what happens to to the ABC projection in this region some of which is below stops. Giving it last chance before I expect more lows.

Small Cap Work in Progress Sun Nov 25th 2018

I haven't made much progress on small caps but will be working on it today. This is as fas as I've gotten.  I'll dump charts later when done. Let's see if I can finish it today. But if any urgent charts, please put in requests. Only 120 to go. 

Large Cap Skew List Fri Nov 23rd 2018

Here is the Large Cap skew list. Note I've added the labels for the count.

Long Term Strategy Tip Wed Nov 21st 2018

In response to Howell's comment below, I want do a bit of teaching...While it's really cool to buy a coin for the long term on the cusp of a large third wave, there's two sides to the coin.

Probability + Mr. Elliott Tue Nov 20th 2018

Just a reminder- I've said this over and over, but now that we have new folks, I want to restate.  Elliott Wave is not a prediction tool so much as a way to find high probability points where a market can turn, using structure and fib patterns.

10% exposure Small Caps. Tue Nov 20th 2018

BTW...I have said this before but this is a great time to bring it up. I separated the small cap and long term portfolios for a reason. In the end of the day it is a confusing design and I wouldn't do it again.

Swing Trades Coming Mon Nov 19th 2018

Since the long term portfolios are out of cash by and large, I'm going to start to pop off swing trades for what I see in buy zones for a tranche. I'm going to put 1/4 on each trade just to say they are areas to only buy carefully.

Thanksgiving Break Sat Nov 17th 2018

Note, particularly if a non US subscriber, I'll be away on Thanksgiving for travel and celebration, Thursday and Friday this week. So...there's your catalyst. 

Today's TIP Thu Nov 15th 2018

I'm going to say this once and it's important enough for notification....If we break through $6200, don't hang on to lower targets. 

Slow Grind Diagonal Bottoms Tue Nov 6th 2018

If you are new to EW this is an important lesson, and I wanted to show this chart just to prep. We have a lot of corrective moves off the lows, in many chaarts.

Reminder Tue Nov 6th 2018

Hey all- Just a reminder. All the last skew charts are still valid if you are looking at tracheing in for the long term. But all targets were placeholders based on the expected bottom.  I will redo all of them again when we have firm bottoms.

Price Action 'Analysis' Mon Oct 29th 2018

While the market is slow (for now ), I wanted to do a quick educational post on how I look at price action. This term 'price action' means to me, in essence, that you are analyzing how price is moving. I am not sure how others think about that term.

A Setup is JUST a Setup Sat Oct 27th 2018

Just a friendly reminder and because we have a few new folks.... The purpose here is just to so you are clear about how I lean as an analyst, as we are likely close to a key turn in the market.

Regarding XXXBTC and XXXUSD Charts Thu Oct 25th 2018

I received a PM with a question, paraphrased, 'I trade in Bitcoin not dollars, can you provide XXXBTC charts? This comes up now and then and now that we have 'pinned posts' I wanted to address this in a thorough fashion.

MACD Thoughts Wed Oct 10th 2018

Slow day and after last night, where I called for a $100 drop on BTC based on the MACD,I thought I'd do a simple post on the MACD.  First, rule #1 in using the MACD is you must not use the crosses as direct buy and sell signals, even the 0 line.


Trading Timeframes with Elliott Wave - Apr 27, 2018

Ryan Wilday talks about how he applies this knowledge of Elliott Wave to managing his cryptocurrency model portfolios in multiple timeframes, making long-term holds, swing trades, and short-term 'scalps' as part of this trading repertoire.

Applying Elliott Wave to Crypto Trading - Jan 17, 2018

In this webinar Ryan covers the basics of Elliott Wave and how it applies to analyzing Cryptocurrency charts and generating successful trades with appropriate risk management.

Revisiting Crypto Trading for Beginners - Jan 3, 2018

In this webinar Ryan revisits getting started in the ever changing Cryptocurrency market including new discussions on security and taxes. He also showcases some of the performance in his Cryptocurrency service since the launch in August 2017.

Crypto Trading for Beginners - July 27, 2017

This 1-hour Webinar by Ryan covers the following:

  • What is a Crypto currency?
  • What are the unique benefits and risks of Crypto trading?
  • How can you enter the Crypto market?
  • Does Elliott Wave work with the Crypto markets?

Other Presentations

Ready for Cryptos to Bottom? (PDF)

Slides of Ryan's presentation at the "Crypto Intelligence" event, Las Vegas Traders Expo, Nov 14, 2018

Trading Elliott Wave + Crypto 'Predictions' (PDF)

Applying Elliott Wave and ‘Fibonacci Pinball’ to analyzing cryptocurrency charts and trading different timeframes, including setting stops and targets. Presented at the SF Money Show, Aug 24, 2018.

Securing Your Cryptocurrency (PDF)

Cryptocurrency traders need to double down on security, so they are not the source of compromise. Here are some insights.

The Risk & Rewards of Crypto Trading (PDF)

An introduction to trading cryptocurrencies and analyzing their charts using Elliott Wave. Presented at the Chicago Traders Expo, Jul 23, 2018.