Bayesian Toolbox

Hosted by Luke Miller

Luke Miller

Bayesian modeling applied across stocks and ETFs, from intraday levels out to multi-quarter probabilities.

What Members Receive:

  • Posterior Predictive Levels (PPLs) identifying support, resistance, and acceleration levels on the 30-minute and 2-hour timeframes, covering a basket of individual stocks and major market ETFs, updated throughout the trading day. 
  • Bayesian Pathways analyzing a range of potential price paths over roughly the next month, posted Monday and Thursday. 
  • Bayesian Directional modeling two potential paths over the coming quarter — a primary and an alternate — with a probability assigned to each, updated at least weekly. 
  • Bayes Box estimating the probability of upside from current levels over the next several quarters, delivered during the webinar and posted in the room.
  • Live Video sessions every other week with Luke walking through current readings and how to apply them. 

About The Approach:

Markets are dynamic and ever-changing. The Bayesian Toolbox is built to keep pace, applying Bayesian modeling to deliver key probabilities and levels for everyone from short-term traders to long-term investors.  Core coverage runs across SPY, GLD, BTC, USO, and TLT, with additional ETFs and individual stocks alongside them.

Because the same core markets run through every tool, you can follow a single instrument across horizons — from intraday levels out to multi-quarter probabilities — and see how the probabilities line up, or diverge, as the timeframe shortens. 

The Toolbox is built to add context to the markets you're already watching, working alongside your own analysis rather than replacing it.

Introductory Videos:

Watch Luke walk through the new Bayesian Toolbox service here.  
Learn more about the Bayes Box analysis here.
Learn more about Posterior Predictive Lines (PPLs) here.
Watch an Introduction to the Bayesian Learning Process here.

Down Arrow

Free 15-Day Trial

• S&P 500 Wave Analysis
• Gold, Silver, Oil & US Dollar Reports
• Stocks, Options, Cryptocurrencies & more
• Live Coaching & Webinars
CREATE A NEW ACCOUNT
No Credit Card Required
Previous or current members login here.
1 Free Trial per Person
By signing up you agree to our terms and privacy policy. You will receive access to our Trading Room, plus account-related emails and our weekend e-newsletter containing news, updates & promotions from ElliottWaveTrader. You can withdraw your consent at anytime.

OUR MEMBERS SAY ...

I live Finance. 80hrs a week corp finance. I trade as a hobby and in my opinion this is the best site in the world for someone to learn about markets... i rue the day when it is no more or its core is changed. there is NO BETTER SITE IN THE WORLD to get the off-cuff input/feedback/knowledge across ALL MARKETS like this site... Thank you to the analysts here who grind out thousands of charts each week.
"GibsonDog" - Trading Room
My faith in God and my faith in Avi and his team. God lead me to this service over 10 years ago. For a decade I have heard Avi point his bat at this very moment in time calling this S&P level. Though the years I have witnessed him point his bat months, even years before metals hit their highs and lows with almost perfect big picture accuracy. Against every other analysts opinion. I have seen him bullied relentlessly on his public articles on SA and stick to his guns and proven so correct with no one ever apologizing or admitting he called it.
"sdmavrick" - Seeking Alpha
My AUM has grown exponentially because of you and I can't thank you enough. My biggest regret is not signing up sooner! You've done more good than you will ever know.
"AAMilne" - Trading Room
I’ve subscribed for 5 years now and I have to say I see that you’ve been right on this the whole time. Who would’ve thought gold and silver would’ve rallied with rates this high for this long and the markets continued higher as well. Always thought your charts were good but always thought in the back of my mind that rate cuts and other news actually led. So now that I’ve admitted defeat u are free to gloat. Well deserved
"Lil_G" - Seeking Alpha
I worked on trading desks at top investment banks for 10 years, then traded on my own for another 8. I've seen 100s of research from the best analysts in the business. Avi and EWT is the only one I'm willing to pay for right now.
"tzeyi" - Seeking Alpha
“I was 100% in equities and been killing it for 2 years, but I heeded your warning and took everything off the table. I've been cautiously trading your recommendations and now when everyone I know is getting wrecked, I'm still profiting. Thank you so much for what you do, my family and future are safe because of it.”
"DoctorBeat" - Trading Room
This service has not only made me money in trades but equally important it got me out of the market before the meltdown.
"BigDaddyTuna" - Trading Room
"Your service and insight is phenomenal, and has definitely changed my outlook on the market. I’ve been actively working on recruiting new members to your service. It’ll save their financial life."
"Bidking82" - Trading Room
"Today, I achieved my highest weekly profit ever ....I see this as a testament to the power of the guidance available here. I ignored all narratives and traded the charts with discipline. I set clear parameters for each trade, immediately placing OCO (One Cancels the Other) orders with both stops and limits. I made some adjustments as the charts evolved, but kept the orders in place, and allowed the process to unfold. Sincere thanks to all the analysts and members who help make this such an incredible community—especially Avi, Zac, Mike, Levi, and Garrett. I'm incredibly grateful!"
"Dre-" - Trading Room
CNBC had a stat this morning that over the last 20 years 86% of money managers/hedge funds have underperformed the market. They couldn't figure out why that’s the case given how 'smart' these people are. . . . I know my performance since joining the site has skyrocketed!
"HenryH" - Trading Room

  Matched “”
x