Bayesian Analysis & ETF Alerts

Hosted by Luke Miller

BayesianTiming analysis and ETF trade signals across equity indices, metals, energy,bonds, crypto and more.

What Members Receive:

Bayesian timing analysis applied to selected charts posted by Avi and Mike in the Flagship service — SPX, GDX, USO, and DXY — along with pure Bayesian analysis of those same symbols and others.
ETF trade signals across multiple time horizons for ETFs covering US indices, energy, metals, and more.
Periodic Webinars highlighting the strategy and current signals and answering member questions.

About the Strategy:

The Bayesian learning algorithm was developed by Luke Miller in the late 1990s to improve investment timing decisions. Applicable across a range of time frames, the algorithm has been applied longest to the Bayesian Trade Signal (BTS), a swing trading system providing long/short signals for a range of ETFs with a target holding period of several days to weeks.

A key aspect of theBayesian learning algorithm and the BTS is the Bayesian Vibration Window, which is a moment in time that serves as resistance or support in price and that provides a high probability of a relative high or low for a trade. Factoring in vibration windows plus the quality of the move and information from options prices, the BTS determines the highest-probability direction of the market over the next 5-15 days.

Introductory Videos:

Watch an Introduction to the Bayesian Learning Process here.
Learn more about the BTS and Bayesian vibration windows here.
Learn more about Posterior Predictive Lines (PPLs) by watching the intro videos from September 17th, 2025 and May 1st, 2026.

Testimonials:

Others have mentioned but it bears repeating - the value provided in this service is incredible. Thanks for everything you're doing and all the extra time you spend answering questions on the board.

Brovahkiin - Trading Room

Absolutely fantastic longer term view, thank you. Incredibly helpful for me

Casca81 - Trading Room

I haven't been here too long, but I absolutely love the energy of the room so far. Thank you for all of your hard work Luke, you continue to impress with how much you accomplish on a daily basis.

GnarCalSurfer - Trading Room

Free 15-Day Trial

• S&P 500 Wave Analysis
• Gold, Silver, Oil & US Dollar Reports
• Stocks, Options, Cryptocurrencies & more
• Live Coaching & Webinars

OUR MEMBERS SAY ...

I live Finance. 80hrs a week corp finance. I trade as a hobby and in my opinion this is the best site in the world for someone to learn about markets... i rue the day when it is no more or its core is changed. there is NO BETTER SITE IN THE WORLD to get the off-cuff input/feedback/knowledge across ALL MARKETS like this site... Thank you to the analysts here who grind out thousands of charts each week.
"GibsonDog" - Trading Room

My faith in God and my faith in Avi and his team. God lead me to this service over 10 years ago. For a decade I have heard Avi point his bat at this very moment in time calling this S&P level. Though the years I have witnessed him point his bat months, even years before metals hit their highs and lows with almost perfect big picture accuracy. Against every other analysts opinion. I have seen him bullied relentlessly on his public articles on SA and stick to his guns and proven so correct with no one ever apologizing or admitting he called it.
"sdmavrick" - Seeking Alpha

My AUM has grown exponentially because of you and I can't thank you enough. My biggest regret is not signing up sooner! You've done more good than you will ever know.
"AAMilne" - Trading Room

I’ve subscribed for 5 years now and I have to say I see that you’ve been right on this the whole time. Who would’ve thought gold and silver would’ve rallied with rates this high for this long and the markets continued higher as well. Always thought your charts were good but always thought in the back of my mind that rate cuts and other news actually led. So now that I’ve admitted defeat u are free to gloat. Well deserved
"Lil_G" - Seeking Alpha

I worked on trading desks at top investment banks for 10 years, then traded on my own for another 8. I've seen 100s of research from the best analysts in the business. Avi and EWT is the only one I'm willing to pay for right now.
"tzeyi" - Seeking Alpha

“I was 100% in equities and been killing it for 2 years, but I heeded your warning and took everything off the table. I've been cautiously trading your recommendations and now when everyone I know is getting wrecked, I'm still profiting. Thank you so much for what you do, my family and future are safe because of it.”
"DoctorBeat" - Trading Room

This service has not only made me money in trades but equally important it got me out of the market before the meltdown.
"BigDaddyTuna" - Trading Room

"Your service and insight is phenomenal, and has definitely changed my outlook on the market. I’ve been actively working on recruiting new members to your service. It’ll save their financial life."
"Bidking82" - Trading Room

"Today, I achieved my highest weekly profit ever ....I see this as a testament to the power of the guidance available here. I ignored all narratives and traded the charts with discipline. I set clear parameters for each trade, immediately placing OCO (One Cancels the Other) orders with both stops and limits. I made some adjustments as the charts evolved, but kept the orders in place, and allowed the process to unfold. Sincere thanks to all the analysts and members who help make this such an incredible community—especially Avi, Zac, Mike, Levi, and Garrett. I'm incredibly grateful!"
"Dre-" - Trading Room

CNBC had a stat this morning that over the last 20 years 86% of money managers/hedge funds have underperformed the market. They couldn't figure out why that’s the case given how 'smart' these people are. . . . I know my performance since joining the site has skyrocketed!
"HenryH" - Trading Room