Bayesian Analysis & ETF Alerts

Hosted by Luke Miller

Luke Miller

BayesianTiming analysis and ETF trade signals across equity indices, metals, energy,bonds, crypto and more.

What Members Receive:

  • BayesianAnalysis service providing daily Bayesian timing analysis applied to AviGilburt's charts on SPX, GDX, USO & DXY. 

  • Bayesian ETF Alerts add-on service providingday-trading (closed same day) and swing-trading (expected hold time of several days to several weeks) signals plus long-term model portfolio acrossover 20 stock and commodity-based ETFs.  These include SPY, QQQ, IWM, GLD,SLV, GDX, USO, UNG, TLT, IBIT, plus various specific sector ETFs like XBI, XLF,and SMH.

  • PeriodicWebinars in the add-on service highlighting the strategy and current signalsand answering member questions.

About the Strategy:

The Bayesian learning algorithmwas developed by Luke Miller in the late 1990s to improve investmenttiming decisions.  Applicable across a range of time frames, the algorithmhas been applied longest to the Bayesian Trade Signal (BTS), a swingtrading system providing long/short signals for a range of ETFs witha target holding period of several days to weeks.

 

A key aspect of theBayesian learning algorithm and the BTS is the Bayesian Vibration Window, whichis a moment in time that serves as resistance or support in price and thatprovides a high probability of a relative high or low for a trade.   Factoringin vibration windows plus the quality of the move and information from optionsprices, the BTS determines the highest-probability direction of the market overthe next 5-15 days.


Bayesian members:  Learn more about the BTS and Bayesian vibration windows here.

Testimonials:

Others have mentioned but it bears repeating - the value provided in this service is incredible. Thanks for everything you're doing and all the extra time you spend answering questions on the board.
Brovahkiin - Trading Room
Absolutely fantastic longer term view, thank you. Incredibly helpful for me
Casca81 - Trading Room
I haven't been here too long, but I absolutely love the energy of the room so far. Thank you for all of your hard work Luke, you continue to impress with how much you accomplish on a daily basis.
GnarCalSurfer - Trading Room

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