till vol percolates....can't short


simply put...till realized vol starts to percolate....this will continue to be a boring drift higher with intermittent bouts of weakness....this is an environment where liquidity starts to dry up which favors squeezes higher....so look for decent opps in stocks for the upside bouts of energy....

im not interested in shorting much till realized vol picks up and this lackluster grind appears to be done....so my plan is to continue to feed the microland long plays and why ive been posting so much of those charts of late...doesnt mean we cant see a quick bout of selling in indexes over next few weeks, but i think they will continue to be bought till they run this well dry....we shall see...

indexes likely to be boring as i posted last night realized vol continues to languish...so action in microland for moment...so ill be updating and looking at this chart more frequently...as i need to see realized vol pick up after the blown bear setup from last week...

feels eerily similar to late 2017 and into early 2018....part of that fall run at end of 2019 to early 2020 etc etc....

so we will get a big whack at some point...just seems its gonna be a bit more...so ill be patient, try to make some coin trading the stock side of things which has been great...and wait to short the indexes again downstream when the stats support...they just dont right now...over and out

Screenshot 2020-08-05 10.55.20
Screenshot 2020-08-05 10.55.20